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Weekly Pulse
Insights, market intelligence, and structural themes rewriting the rules of asset allocation.
The week ending May 1, 2026, was characterized by a confluence of hawkish central bank holds, persistent inflation data, and elevated geopolitical risk premiums stemming from the ongoing Middle East conflict. The Federal Reserve maintained its benchmark rate at 3.50%-3.75%, though a notable four dissents underscored internal divisions regarding the policy path [1]. Meanwhile, the European Central ...
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The week ending April 24, 2026, was defined by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which catalyzed a sharp repricing of energy commodities and recalibrated monetary policy expectations. The ongoing conflict involving the United States, Israel, and Iran severely disrupted transit through the Strait of Hormuz, propelling Brent crude prices from approximately $95 per barrel early in ...
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This week’s macro narrative was shaped by an inflationary energy shock colliding with still-resilient activity data and a market backdrop that, by week-end, leaned back toward softer long-end yields, a weaker dollar, firmer equities, and renewed precious-metals strength. In the United States, March CPI rose sharply as gasoline prices surged, while producer prices also accelerated, reinforcing the ...
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The macro story this week became more complicated, not less. The United States delivered a sharp upside surprise in consumer inflation for March, with headline CPI rising 0.9% month over month and 3.3% year over year after a much softer 2.4% year-over-year reading in February.1 The overwhelming driver was energy. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the energy index rose 10.9% in March, ga...
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The week of March 28 through April 3, 2026 was defined by the collision of two powerful and opposing forces: a resilient U.S. economy and a historic energy supply shock emanating from the Middle East. The 2026 Iran war and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz — now entering its fifth week — have disrupted an estimated 20% of global seaborne oil supply, propelling Brent crude futures above...
Read Full Article The table below summarizes the most significant price and rate levels for the coverage period, from the open of trading on Monday, March 16, through Friday, March 20, 2026.
Read Full Article The week of March 7–13, 2026, was defined by a single, overarching force: the escalating US-Israeli military conflict with Iran. The conflict, which began in late February, has rapidly reshaped the global macroeconomic landscape, introducing a substantial “war premium” into energy markets and triggering a classic stagflationary impulse, rising inflation expectations colliding with deteriorating gr...
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